Articles and Insights

Stay informed on developments in the economy and global markets through articles from the Towneley team.

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2023 Year in Review and 2024 Outlook

2023 was a year of resilience in the face of economic and market challenges. Despite a banking crisis, inflationary pressures, Fed tightening, weakening economic data, and stagnant corporate earnings, the Russell 3000 Index finished the year up 26%, with the MSCI ACWI-Ex-U.S. (International markets) Index up 15.6%. The bond market also ended the year in positive territory, with the Barclays Intermediate Gov/Corp Index up 5.2%. This marked the first positive year for fixed income since 2020.

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Market Insights Amidst Escalating Middle East Conflict

On the morning of Saturday, October 7, Hamas launched a surprise attack on Israel killing hundreds and plunging the region into further conflict. Israel immediately declared war on Hamas, responded with air strikes, and called up 300,000 army reservists. The U.S. and many U.N. Security Council members have condemned the attacks by Hamas, which is designated a terrorist organization by many major countries, and are providing assistance to Israel including the positioning of a U.S. aircraft carrier in the Eastern Mediterranean. The situation is evolving and we all hope for a return to stability in the region, and especially for the continued safety of civilians and any friends and family that might be impacted.

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STRENGTH IN TECH OVERSHADOWS MACRO HEADWINDS

On the back of a robust labor market and declining inflation, global markets experienced a strong first half to the year, with the Russell 3000 increasing 16.2%, MSCI ACWI-EX US up 9.5% and Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index up 2.1%. The story for the year has been the resurgence of technology stocks following a challenging 2022, with the “Magnificent Seven” leading the market higher and accounting for roughly ¾ of the gains YTD.

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PREVENTING IDENTITY THEFT

Today, we have more technology at our disposal than ever before, making our lives easier and more enjoyable. We can bank in a bathrobe from the comfort of our kitchen and connect with friends and loved ones around the globe anytime, day or night.

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THE WISDOM AND WARREN

During the third quarter, the media released news of Warren Buffet’s two latest investment acquisitions. The billionaire’s investments do not always catch our attention, but this time it is different. Mr. Buffet seems concerned about the dollar’s weakness. He may also be worried about U.S. stock market valuations, which are at historic highs compared to those of some foreign stock markets.

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